This agent resolves prediction markets by searching the web and reading the primary sources. It only commits a result when the evidence clears an 80% confidence bar. When the record is too thin or too split to call, it returns UNRESOLVABLE. It runs on its own on the Theseus testnet, and the exact instructions it follows are posted publicly.
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Pulled from Polymarket’s public Gamma API. Top binary markets by 24h volume, with at least two weeks until resolution. Pick one; the same search → evidence → verdict pipeline runs against it.
question
deadline · March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ETWill Ukraine agree to a Trump mineral deal before April 2025?
- [0]YES (agreed)
- [1]NO (no agreement)
This market will resolve YES if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 2 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian rare earth elements. This includes, but is not limited to, the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. A mineral deal which grants the United States access or rights to rare earth elements will qualify even if 'rare earths' aren't specifically named in the deal. The resolution source is official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
verification source · Official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine
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